Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANTALYA (TURKEY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday


	Vilius Gaubas		Steven Diez

	1	2
	5	1.17	Watch
	4.6	1.16
	4.75	1.17
	5.41	1.16
	4.5	1.17	Watch
	4.45	1.18	Watch
	4.6	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↑ (3.28)	1.17 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
19.7%

Steven Diez
80.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

71.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

76%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilius Gaubas's form might have worsened.

Steven Diez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Steven Diez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Steven Diez than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Vilius Gaubas - Steven Diez Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Diez will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaubas has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Diez is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Diez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Diez is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ITF Tournaments
01.03.23	Vilius Gaubas - Iliyan Radulov	1:2 ✺
22.02.23	Timo Legout - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.02.23	Vilius Gaubas - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.01.23	Karl Friberg - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
10.01.23	Alex Knaff - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Steven Diez
ITF Tournaments
04.03.23	Oriol Roca Batalla - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
03.03.23	Steven Diez - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
02.03.23	Steven Diez - Bruno Pujol Navarro	2:0 ✺
01.03.23	Steven Diez - Kuzey Cekirge	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.02.23	Mitchell Krueger - Steven Diez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL

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