Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Budapest, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday


	Vincent Dullinger		Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini

	1	2
	1.38	2.75
	1.49	2.65
	1.39	2.7	Watch
	1.47	2.61
	1.42	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)	2.66 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vincent Dullinger
65%

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vincent Dullinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vincent Dullinger than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vincent Dullinger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Dullinger is ranked ATP: 1138. Baragiola Mordini is ranked ATP: 1172.

Dullinger is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Baragiola Mordini's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Baragiola Mordini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dullinger could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vincent Dullinger
ITF Tournaments
02.09.26	Vincent Dullinger - Bruno Fernandez	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Vincent Dullinger - Daniel Salazar	0:2
19.08.26	Jannik Maute - Vincent Dullinger	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Maxime Chazal - Vincent Dullinger	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Vincent Dullinger - Julien Penzlin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW
- Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Lorenzo Berto - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Lorenzo Beraldo	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Jonas Gundacker - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWLL

Vincent Dullinger - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide