Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Vitalia Diatchenko		Lucrezia Stefanini

	1	2
	3.25	1.33
	2.2	1.62
	2.32	1.58
	3.39	1.33
	2.37	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (1.91)	1.5 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitalia Diatchenko
36.3%

Lucrezia Stefanini
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitalia Diatchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitalia Diatchenko's form might have worsened.

Lucrezia Stefanini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucrezia Stefanini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitalia Diatchenko than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitalia Diatchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucrezia Stefanini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Vitalia Diatchenko - Lucrezia Stefanini Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Stefanini (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Stefanini (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Stefanini (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lucrezia Stefanini will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lucrezia Stefanini will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Stefanini (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Diatchenko is ranked WTA: 407. Stefanini is ranked WTA: 143.

Diatchenko is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Stefanini has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stefanini might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diatchenko won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitalia Diatchenko
ATP Challenger
18.07.25	Himeno Sakatsume - Vitalia Diatchenko	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Vitalia Diatchenko - Alina Charaeva	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Vitalia Diatchenko - Gabriela Knutson	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.07.25	Aoi Ito - Vitalia Diatchenko	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Gabriela Knutson - Vitalia Diatchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWWWW
- Lucrezia Stefanini
WTA Prague
23.07.25	Marie Bouzkova - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Viktoriya Tomova - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Alena Kovackova	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Caroline Werner	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Elizabeth Mandlik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.09.22	Vitalia Diatchenko - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2
ATP Challenger
14.06.22	Vitalia Diatchenko - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2

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