Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MAIA (PORTUGAL), CLAY (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 30 November 2022, Wednesday


	Vitaliy Sachko		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.2	1.65
	2.1	1.71
	2.08	1.76
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.13	1.65	Watch
	2.08	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.58)	1.69 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitaliy Sachko
44.5%

Jan Choinski
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitaliy Sachko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitaliy Sachko's performance.

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan Choinski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitaliy Sachko than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitaliy Sachko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan Choinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93%	0%	7%

Vitaliy Sachko - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Sachko will win (votes: 40 - 93%). Choinski will win (votes: 3 - 7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sachko: 85.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sachko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Choinski will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitaliy Sachko
ATP Challenger
26.11.22	Vitaliy Sachko - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
25.11.22	Vitaliy Sachko - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
23.11.22	Jelle Sels - Vitaliy Sachko	Sels J. retired ✺
21.11.22	Alexandar Lazarov - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
13.11.22	Vitaliy Sachko - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LW?WL
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
16.11.22	Jan Choinski - Gonzalo Lama	Canceled ✺
08.11.22	Jan Choinski - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
07.11.22	Jan Choinski - Damian Wenger	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Jan Choinski - Juan Martin Fumeaux	2:0 ✺
04.11.22	Jan Choinski - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ?LWWL

Vitaliy Sachko - Jan Choinski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide