Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Tarvisio, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 27 June 2025, Friday


	Vittoria Paganetti		Deborah Chiesa

	1	2
	1.87	1.8
	2.11	1.69
			Watch
	1.91	1.8
	2.01	1.71	Watch
	2.07	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.07)	1.73 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vittoria Paganetti
46.5%

Deborah Chiesa
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vittoria Paganetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Deborah Chiesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vittoria Paganetti than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Vittoria Paganetti - Deborah Chiesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paganetti is ranked WTA: 654. Chiesa is ranked WTA: 539.

Recent performances by Paganetti have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chiesa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Chiesa will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vittoria Paganetti
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Lisa Pigato - Vittoria Paganetti	Pigato L. retired ✺
25.06.25	Vittoria Paganetti - Aneta Laboutkova	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Ilinca Dalina Amariei - Vittoria Paganetti	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Vittoria Paganetti - Jenny Duerst	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Sofia Shapatava - Vittoria Paganetti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 ?WWLW
- Deborah Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Aneta Kucmova - Deborah Chiesa	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	Deborah Chiesa - Samira De Stefano	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Arianna Zucchini - Deborah Chiesa	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Tiphanie Lemaitre - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Alina Granwehr - Deborah Chiesa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWLW

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