Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Amstelveen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday


	Vittoria Paganetti		Lia Karatancheva

	1	2
			Watch
	2.20	1.57
	2.25	1.57
	2.35	1.61
	2.23	1.56	Watch
	2.45	1.52
	2.27	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.88)	1.57 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vittoria Paganetti
40.6%

Lia Karatancheva
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vittoria Paganetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vittoria Paganetti's form might have worsened.

Lia Karatancheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lia Karatancheva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vittoria Paganetti than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vittoria Paganetti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lia Karatancheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vittoria Paganetti - Lia Karatancheva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paganetti is ranked WTA: 421. Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 472.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Karatancheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Lia Karatancheva - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.81%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vittoria Paganetti
ITF Tournaments
23.06.26	Alja Senica - Vittoria Paganetti	2:1 ✺
19.06.26	Gabriela Ce - Vittoria Paganetti	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Paula Ormaechea - Vittoria Paganetti	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Francesca Gandolfi - Vittoria Paganetti	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.06.26	Vittoria Paganetti - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL
- Lia Karatancheva
ITF Tournaments
30.06.26	Joy De Zeeuw - Lia Karatancheva	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Lia Karatancheva	2:1 ✺
18.06.26	Lia Karatancheva - Cagla Buyukakcay	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Valeria Garnevska - Lia Karatancheva	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Lola Radivojevic - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWL

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