Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mexico City 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Vladyslav Orlov		Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.78	Watch
	2.01	1.72	Watch
	1.95	1.8
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.99	1.75	Watch
	2.01	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.08)	1.76 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vladyslav Orlov
47.3%

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
52.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vladyslav Orlov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vladyslav Orlov than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Vladyslav Orlov - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Orlov will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Aguilar will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Orlov is ranked ATP: 580. Aguilar is ranked ATP: 482.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Orlov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vladyslav Orlov
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Govind Nanda - Vladyslav Orlov	1:2 ✺
31.03.25	Vladyslav Orlov - Conner Huertas Del Pino	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Vladyslav Orlov - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Vladyslav Orlov	2:0 ✺
24.03.25	Vladyslav Orlov - Ignacio Monzon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW
- Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Rafael De Alba - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Ray Ho	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vladyslav Orlov
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Vladyslav Orlov - Daniel Masur	✺

Vladyslav Orlov - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar