Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santo Domingo 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 March 2025, Thursday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar

	1	2
	1.64	2.18
	1.62	2.2
	1.59	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.83)	2.21 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
57.7%

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gilles Arnaud Bailly's performance.

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gilles Arnaud Bailly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Bailly is ranked ATP: 622. Aguilar is ranked ATP: 487.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Bailly could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ITF Tournaments
25.03.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Jossting Cruz	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Benjamin Thomas George - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Fadi Bidan	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Alberto Barroso Campos - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL
- Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
ITF Tournaments
25.03.25	Andrew Fenty - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Nicolas Arseneault - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Bruno Kuzuhara	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.25	Murphy Cassone - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide