Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bucaramanga 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Vladyslav Orlov		Nicolas Villalon

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.43
	1.51	2.61
	1.49	2.43	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (2.04)	2.48 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vladyslav Orlov
62.3%

Nicolas Villalon
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vladyslav Orlov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vladyslav Orlov's performance.

Nicolas Villalon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Villalon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vladyslav Orlov than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vladyslav Orlov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Villalon than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Villalon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Vladyslav Orlov - Nicolas Villalon Predictions

Users Predictions: Vladyslav Orlov will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Orlov is ranked ATP: 512. Villalon is ranked ATP: 931.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Orlov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Orlov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Vladyslav Orlov - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.31%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vladyslav Orlov
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Ronit Karki - Vladyslav Orlov	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Keshav Chopra - Vladyslav Orlov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.02.26	Brian Bozemoj - Vladyslav Orlov	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
08.02.26	Chris Rodesch - Vladyslav Orlov	Canceled ✺
07.02.26	Alex Knaff - Vladyslav Orlov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWL?L
- Nicolas Villalon
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Natan Rodrigues - Nicolas Villalon	Rodrigues N. retired ✺
22.03.26	Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias - Nicolas Villalon	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Nicolas Villalon	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Nicolas Villalon - Ryan Dickerson	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Nicolas Villalon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 ?WLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.06.24	Nicolas Villalon - Vladyslav Orlov	2:1

Vladyslav Orlov - Nicolas Villalon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide