Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Barueri, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday


	Wilson Leite		Igor Marcondes

	1	2
			Watch
	4.68	1.16
	4.25	1.17	Watch
	4.24	1.19	Watch
	4	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (2.31)	1.19 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wilson Leite
21.6%

Igor Marcondes
78.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wilson Leite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wilson Leite's form might have worsened.

Igor Marcondes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Igor Marcondes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wilson Leite than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wilson Leite, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igor Marcondes than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Igor Marcondes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wilson Leite - Igor Marcondes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Leite is ranked ATP: 871. Marcondes is ranked ATP: 616.

Leite is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marcondes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Marcondes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Marcondes could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leite won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wilson Leite
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Bruno Kuzuhara - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Wilson Leite	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Wilson Leite - Bruno Kuzuhara	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Wilson Leite - Nicolas Kicker	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Wilson Leite - Sergey Fomin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Igor Marcondes
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Igor Marcondes	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Igor Marcondes - Pavlo Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Mateus Alves - Igor Marcondes	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Igor Marcondes - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Igor Marcondes	Saraiva Dos Santos P. A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.08.21	Igor Marcondes - Wilson Leite	0:2

Wilson Leite - Igor Marcondes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide