Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Sao Paulo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Xiaodi You		Alina Charaeva

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	3.10	1.36
	3.05	1.37	Watch
	3.15	1.41
	2.72	1.41	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.74	1.46	Watch
	2.8	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.7)	1.41 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xiaodi You
32.9%

Alina Charaeva
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xiaodi You has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xiaodi You than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Xiaodi You - Alina Charaeva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. You will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Charaeva will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

You is ranked WTA: 207. Charaeva is ranked WTA: 133.

You has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Charaeva is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Charaeva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Charaeva might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, You won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Xiaodi You - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.66%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Alina Charaeva - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 65.34%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xiaodi You
WTA Sao Paulo
13.09.26	Xiaodi You - Victoria Bosio	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Xiaodi You - Luiza Fullana	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Xiaodi You - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
24.08.26	Qinwen Zheng - Xiaodi You	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.08.26	Xiaodi You - Ekaterine Gorgodze	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL
- Alina Charaeva
WTA US Open
25.08.26	Alina Charaeva - Susan Bandecchi	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
14.08.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Alina Charaeva	2:1 ✺
12.08.26	Alina Korneeva - Alina Charaeva	Charaeva A. Walkover ✺
11.08.26	Rebecca Marino - Alina Charaeva	0:2 ✺
WTA Hamburg
24.07.26	Anna Bondar - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.02.26	Alina Charaeva - Xiaodi You	2:0
ITF Tournaments
17.01.25	Xiaodi You - Alina Charaeva	2:0

Xiaodi You - Alina Charaeva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide