Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Huzhou, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday


	Polona Hercog		Xinyu Gao

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Polona Hercog
62%

Xinyu Gao
38%

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

58.4%

41.6%

Polona Hercog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Xinyu Gao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinyu Gao than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Hercog is ranked WTA: 249. Gao is ranked WTA: 230.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Hercog may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hercog will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Xinyu Gao - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.4%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polona Hercog
ITF Tournaments
23.04.26	Polona Hercog - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Polona Hercog - Arina Bulatova	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Polona Hercog	Hercog P. Retired ✺
17.04.26	Polona Hercog - Sofia Costoulas	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Polona Hercog - Antonia Stoyanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LW?WW
- Xinyu Gao
ITF Tournaments
23.04.26	Varvara Panshina - Xinyu Gao	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Meiqi Guo - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Sitong Chen - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Xinyu Gao - Susan Bandecchi	1:2 ✺
09.04.26	Xinyu Gao - Aneta Kucmova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWLW

Polona Hercog - Xinyu Gao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide