Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Budapest (Hungary), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 July 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Hungary	Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6


	Xiyu Wang		Rebecca Sramkova

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.58	2.34	Watch
	1.57	2.54
	1.63	2.34	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.58	2.4	Watch
	1.58	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.91)	2.36 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xiyu Wang
59.7%

Rebecca Sramkova
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xiyu Wang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xiyu Wang's performance.

Rebecca Sramkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rebecca Sramkova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xiyu Wang than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xiyu Wang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rebecca Sramkova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64%	0%	36%

Xiyu Wang - Rebecca Sramkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Wang will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Sramkova will win (votes: 9 - 36%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wang: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Wang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Wang will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xiyu Wang
WTA Budapest
16.07.24	Xiyu Wang - Anca Alexia Todoni	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.24	Donna Vekic - Xiyu Wang	2:1 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
22.06.24	Xiyu Wang - Petra Martic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.06.24	Katie Volynets - Xiyu Wang	2:0 ✺
07.06.24	Xiyu Wang - Brenda Fruhvirtova	Fruhvirtova B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLL?
- Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Budapest
16.07.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.24	Ann Li - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.24	Marta Kostyuk - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.06.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Laura Pigossi	1:2 ✺
10.06.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Lanlana Tararudee	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLW

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