Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Osaka, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday


	Ann Li		Rebecca Sramkova

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.71	2.24
	2.15	1.70	Watch
	1.68	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.67)	2.11 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ann Li
54.5%

Rebecca Sramkova
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ann Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Rebecca Sramkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ann Li than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Ann Li - Rebecca Sramkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Li will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Sramkova will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Li: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Li (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sramkova (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Li is ranked WTA: 42. Sramkova is ranked WTA: 65.

Li is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sramkova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Li won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ann Li
WTA Osaka
13.10.25	Ann Li - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
WTA Wuhan
07.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Emma Raducanu - Ann Li	Raducanu E. retired ✺
WTA Beijing
24.09.25	Ann Li - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
31.08.25	Jessica Pegula - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WL?LL
- Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Osaka
14.10.25	Joanna Garland - Rebecca Sramkova	0:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
08.10.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Rebecca Sramkova	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Anna Kalinskaya	2:1 ✺
WTA Beijing
25.09.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Elena Gabriela Ruse	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Ann Li - Rebecca Sramkova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
25.08.25	Ann Li - Rebecca Sramkova	2:1
ATP Challenger
08.07.24	Ann Li - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0

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