Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Huzhou (China), hard - Final

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday


	Yan Bai		Fajing Sun

	1	2
	1.7	2
	1.6	2.15
	1.68	2.13
	1.62	2.17	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.65	2.13	Watch
	1.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.4)	2.1 ↓ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yan Bai
56%

Fajing Sun
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yan Bai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yan Bai's form might have worsened.

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fajing Sun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yan Bai than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yan Bai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fajing Sun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yan Bai - Fajing Sun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bai is ranked ATP: 268. Sun is ranked ATP: 320.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Bai will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bai won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yan Bai
ITF Tournaments
26.10.24	Yan Bai - Mikalai Haliak	2:0 ✺
25.10.24	Yan Bai - Elliot Benchetrit	2:0 ✺
24.10.24	Yan Bai - Aliaksandr Liaonenka	2:0 ✺
23.10.24	Yan Bai - Minghui Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.10.24	Arthur Cazaux - Yan Bai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWWL
- Fajing Sun
ITF Tournaments
26.10.24	Ryotaro Taguchi - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
25.10.24	Sheng Tang - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
24.10.24	Hanyi Liu - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Yaojie Zeng - Fajing Sun	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.10.24	Fajing Sun - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.08.24	Yan Bai - Fajing Sun	2:0
18.08.23	Fajing Sun - Yan Bai	2:0
ATP Challenger
26.08.19	Fajing Sun - Yan Bai	0:2

Yan Bai - Fajing Sun: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide