Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Yan Bai		Kaichi Uchida

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4	Watch
	1.47	2.5
	1.54	2.44
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.51	Watch
	1.47	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.33)	2.47 ↓ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yan Bai
62.3%

Kaichi Uchida
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yan Bai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yan Bai's form might have worsened.

Kaichi Uchida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaichi Uchida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yan Bai than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yan Bai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaichi Uchida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Yan Bai - Kaichi Uchida Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bai will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Uchida will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bai is ranked ATP: 242. Uchida is ranked ATP: 369.

Recent matches Bai is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Uchida is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Bai is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bai won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yan Bai
ATP Challenger
20.04.25	Yan Bai - Duck Hee Lee	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Yan Bai - Sanhui Shin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.03.25	Oliver Crawford - Yan Bai	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Yan Bai - Ye Cong Mo	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Mikalai Haliak - Yan Bai	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWW
- Kaichi Uchida
ATP Challenger
20.04.25	Kaichi Uchida - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Duck Hee Lee - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.04.25	Sora Fukuda - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Kaichi Uchida - Ye Cong Mo	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Kaichi Uchida - Jie Cui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.08.23	Yan Bai - Kaichi Uchida	Canceled

Yan Bai - Kaichi Uchida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide