Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Cattolica, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday


	Yanaki Milev		Tommaso Compagnucci

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.53
			Watch
	2.35	1.55
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.28	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2)	1.56 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanaki Milev
40.4%

Tommaso Compagnucci
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanaki Milev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yanaki Milev's form might have worsened.

Tommaso Compagnucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tommaso Compagnucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanaki Milev than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yanaki Milev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tommaso Compagnucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

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Preview

Milev is ranked ATP: 769. Compagnucci is ranked ATP: 428.

Recent form of Milev has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Compagnucci's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Milev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanaki Milev
ITF Tournaments
12.06.25	Yanaki Milev - Jose Pereira	0:2 ✺
05.06.25	Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa - Yanaki Milev	2:1 ✺
04.06.25	Alvaro Bueno Gil - Yanaki Milev	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.05.25	Yanaki Milev - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.05.25	Jonas Forejtek - Yanaki Milev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Tommaso Compagnucci
ITF Tournaments
13.06.25	Felix Gill - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Pietro Romeo Scomparin - Tommaso Compagnucci	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	Nikola Jovic - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Tommaso Compagnucci - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
01.06.25	Kristijan Juhas - Tommaso Compagnucci	Juhas K. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWL?

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