Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25+H Ajaccio, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 July 2025, Thursday


	Yanis Ghazouani Durand		Mae Malige

	1	2
	2.54	1.44
			Watch
	2.59	1.46
			Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.5	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.19)	1.47 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanis Ghazouani Durand
36.7%

Mae Malige
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanis Ghazouani Durand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yanis Ghazouani Durand's form might have worsened.

Mae Malige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mae Malige's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanis Ghazouani Durand than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yanis Ghazouani Durand, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mae Malige than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mae Malige, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Ghazouani Durand is ranked ATP: 929. Malige is ranked ATP: 546.

Ghazouani Durand is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Malige has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ghazouani Durand may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Malige might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ghazouani Durand won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanis Ghazouani Durand
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Pavle Marinkov	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Roger Pascual Ferra - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Preston Stearns	2:1 ✺
24.06.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Alex Martinez	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWW?
- Mae Malige
ITF Tournaments
01.07.25	Liam Hignett - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Theo Papamalamis - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Pierre Delage - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Maxime Janvier - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Mae Malige - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.10.24	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Mae Malige	2:1
02.03.24	Mae Malige - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Mae Malige: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide