Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Lannion, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lannion 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Yanis Ghazouani Durand		Robin Catry

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Yanis Ghazouani Durand
48.7%

Robin Catry
51.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanis Ghazouani Durand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yanis Ghazouani Durand's form might have worsened.

Robin Catry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Robin Catry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanis Ghazouani Durand than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robin Catry than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ghazouani Durand (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Ghazouani Durand is ranked ATP: 720. Catry is ranked ATP: 554.

Ghazouani Durand is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Catry has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ghazouani Durand may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanis Ghazouani Durand
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Lucas Poullain - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Matt Ponchet - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Florent Lagarrigue - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLW
- Robin Catry
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Robin Catry - Leo Lagarrigue	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Robin Catry - Antonin Witz	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Robin Catry - Nicolas Ifi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Robin Catry	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Robin Catry - Mika Petkovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWLL

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Robin Catry