Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Bali 3, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Yanki Erel		Koki Matsuda

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.2
			Watch
	1.32	3.27
	1.75	1.94	Watch
	1.31	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 (1.42)	2.9 ↑ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanki Erel
67.2%

Koki Matsuda
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanki Erel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Koki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Yanki Erel - Koki Matsuda Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Erel (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Erel is ranked ATP: 508. Matsuda is ranked ATP: 710.

Erel has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Matsuda is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Matsuda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Erel is a strong favorite.

We predict that Erel will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Yanki Erel - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 64.32%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanki Erel
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Yanki Erel - S D Prajwal Dev	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Yanki Erel - Gunawan Trismuwantara	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Yanki Erel - Nitin Kumar Sinha	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Yanki Erel - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Yanki Erel - Soon Woo Kwon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWW
- Koki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Koki Matsuda - Alexander Klintcharov	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Koki Matsuda - Ajay Malik	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Kasidit Samrej - Koki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Koki Matsuda - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Koki Matsuda - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW

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