Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Fujairah - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Yanki Erel		Marek Gengel

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.15	1.69
	2.05	1.68	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.25)	1.7 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanki Erel
45.3%

Marek Gengel
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanki Erel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Marek Gengel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yanki Erel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marek Gengel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yanki Erel - Marek Gengel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gengel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Erel is ranked ATP: 378. Gengel is ranked ATP: 426.

Erel is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Gengel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gengel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gengel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanki Erel
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Yanki Erel - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Yanki Erel - Cesar Bouchelaghem	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Yanki Erel - Simone Massellani	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Yanki Erel - Alexey Aleshchev	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Yanki Erel - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWW
- Marek Gengel
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Yusuke Kusuhara - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Marek Gengel - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Marek Gengel - Kasra Rahmani	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Florent Bax - Marek Gengel	Gengel M. retired ✺
27.01.26	Marek Gengel - Oliver Crawford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLW?W

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