Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday


	Florent Bax		Marek Gengel

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.4	Watch
	2.92	1.42
	2.71	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.77	1.39	Watch
	2.95	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.68)	1.4 (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florent Bax
33.2%

Marek Gengel
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Marek Gengel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Florent Bax - Marek Gengel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bax is ranked ATP: 284. Gengel is ranked ATP: 336.

In recent matches, Bax has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gengel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gengel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Gengel will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Marek Gengel - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.71%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florent Bax
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Florent Bax - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Florent Bax - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Andre Ilagan - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWL
- Marek Gengel
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Marek Gengel - Oliver Crawford	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Marek Gengel - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Marek Gengel - Ji Sung Nam	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Marek Gengel - Petr Bar-Biryukov	1:2 ✺
19.01.26	Luka Pavlovic - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLW

Florent Bax - Marek Gengel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide