Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 5, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Yanki Erel		Nicolas Tepmahc

	1	2
	1.22	3.8
	1.22	4.34
	1.34	2.88	Watch
	1.22	4
	1.24	3.65	Watch
	1.18	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.35)	3.78 ↑ (2.89)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanki Erel
75.3%

Nicolas Tepmahc
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanki Erel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yanki Erel's performance.

Nicolas Tepmahc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Tepmahc might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Tepmahc than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Yanki Erel - Nicolas Tepmahc Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Erel is ranked ATP: 437. Tepmahc is ranked ATP: 743.

Erel is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tepmahc is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Erel is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Erel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanki Erel
ITF Tournaments
13.02.26	Yanki Erel - Theo Herrmann	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Yanki Erel - Gilberto Ravasio	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Yanki Erel - Martin Sabas	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
07.02.26	Sebastian Dominko - Yanki Erel	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Bor Artnak - Yanki Erel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWW?W
- Nicolas Tepmahc
ITF Tournaments
13.02.26	Nicolas Tepmahc - Gabriele Bosio	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Nicolas Tepmahc - Mathys Picard	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Nicolas Tepmahc - Yuto Oki	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Nicolas Tepmahc - Amir Omarkhanov	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Jorge Plans - Nicolas Tepmahc	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.06.25	Nicolas Tepmahc - Yanki Erel	Canceled
06.06.25	Nicolas Tepmahc - Yanki Erel	1:2

Yanki Erel - Nicolas Tepmahc: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide