Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 DOHA (QATAR), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Yanki Erel		Saba Purtseladze

	1	2
	1.4	2.65
	1.4	2.7
	1.42	2.77
	1.43	2.77
	1.4	2.75
	1.48	2.53	Watch
	1.54	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.57)	2.63 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanki Erel
64.7%

Saba Purtseladze
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanki Erel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yanki Erel's performance.

Saba Purtseladze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saba Purtseladze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yanki Erel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saba Purtseladze than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saba Purtseladze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Erel is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Purtseladze is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Purtseladze could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Erel will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanki Erel
ITF Tournaments
12.01.24	Yanki Erel - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:1 ✺
11.01.24	Yanki Erel - Pierre Delage	2:0 ✺
10.01.24	Yanki Erel - Pablo Trochu	2:0 ✺
06.01.24	Yanki Erel - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
05.01.24	Yanki Erel - Ryan James Storrie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW
- Saba Purtseladze
ITF Tournaments
12.01.24	Saba Purtseladze - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
11.01.24	Saba Purtseladze - Matej Vocel	2:1 ✺
10.01.24	Saba Purtseladze - Rashed Nawaf	2:0 ✺
14.12.23	Alec Beckley - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanki Erel
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Yanki Erel	✺

Yanki Erel - Saba Purtseladze: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide