Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Yannick Hanfmann		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.62	2.34
	1.58	2.33	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.58	2.29	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.41)	2.29 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yannick Hanfmann
59.2%

Marco Trungelliti
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yannick Hanfmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yannick Hanfmann's form might have worsened.

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco Trungelliti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yannick Hanfmann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Yannick Hanfmann - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Users Predictions: Yannick Hanfmann will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 102. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 143.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Trungelliti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hanfmann will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yannick Hanfmann
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Yshai Oliel - Yannick Hanfmann	Canceled ✺
31.01.25	Daniel Cukierman - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Marcos Giron - Yannick Hanfmann	3:1 ✺
ATP Adelaide
06.01.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Manuel Guinard - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 ?WLLW
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.25	Marco Trungelliti - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.02.25	Marco Trungelliti - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
24.01.25	Marco Trungelliti - Carlos Taberner	1:2 ✺
23.01.25	Marco Trungelliti - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Marco Trungelliti - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWW

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