Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Yannick Hanfmann		Tristan Boyer

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	1.85	1.99
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	1.74	2	Watch
	1.55	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.57)	2.02 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yannick Hanfmann
53.5%

Tristan Boyer
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yannick Hanfmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yannick Hanfmann's form might have worsened.

Tristan Boyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tristan Boyer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yannick Hanfmann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Boyer than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tristan Boyer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yannick Hanfmann - Tristan Boyer Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boyer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 134. Boyer is ranked ATP: 117.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

Hanfmann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hanfmann might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hanfmann won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Yannick Hanfmann - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Tristan Boyer - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Chengdu
16.09.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Yannick Hanfmann	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 L?WLL
- Tristan Boyer
ATP Hangzhou
16.09.25	Gauthier Onclin - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Marat Sharipov - Tristan Boyer	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Tristan Boyer - Andrey Rublev	1:3 ✺
25.08.25	James Duckworth - Tristan Boyer	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
16.08.25	Darwin Blanch - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 L?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stuttgart
08.06.25	Tristan Boyer - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2

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