Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Pablo Llamas Ruiz		Yannick Hanfmann

	1	2
	2.75	1.4
	2.54	1.48
	2.6	1.47
	2.5	1.54
	2.69	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.4
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (3.23)	1.46 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
35.6%

Yannick Hanfmann
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Llamas Ruiz's performance.

Yannick Hanfmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yannick Hanfmann might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Llamas Ruiz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yannick Hanfmann could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Yannick Hanfmann Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Hanfmann will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hanfmann (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 360. Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 132.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

In this match, Hanfmann is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Hanfmann will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Robin Haase - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
24.07.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Llamas Ruiz P. retired ✺
22.07.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LW?WW
- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Guy Den Ouden - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Olle Wallin	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Jan Choinski - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWW

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