Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 The Hague, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Yannik Kelm		Daniel De Jonge

	1	2
	2.5	1.54
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.45	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.5)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yannik Kelm
37.6%

Daniel De Jonge
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yannik Kelm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Daniel De Jonge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannik Kelm than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel De Jonge than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Yannik Kelm - Daniel De Jonge Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Kelm (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kelm (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kelm is ranked ATP: 829. De Jonge is ranked ATP: 773.

Kelm has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

De Jonge is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

De Jonge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

De Jonge might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that De Jonge will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yannik Kelm
ITF Tournaments
10.02.26	Yannik Kelm - Yaroslav Demin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.02.26	Yannik Kelm - Alec Deckers	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.01.26	Yannik Kelm - Loann Massard	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Matyas Cerny - Yannik Kelm	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Stefano DAgostino - Yannik Kelm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWW
- Daniel De Jonge
ITF Tournaments
18.01.26	Sydney Zick - Daniel De Jonge	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Daniel De Jonge - Oskar Brostrom Poulsen	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Daniel De Jonge - Loann Massard	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Calvin Mueller - Daniel De Jonge	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Daniel De Jonge - Karl Friberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWWW

Yannik Kelm - Daniel De Jonge: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide