Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Yaojie Zeng		Ryuki Matsuda

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Yaojie Zeng
34.9%

Ryuki Matsuda
65.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yaojie Zeng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Ryuki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaojie Zeng than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Zeng is ranked ATP: 887. Matsuda is ranked ATP: 490.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Zeng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Matsuda could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yaojie Zeng
ATP Challenger
24.08.25	Yaojie Zeng - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.08.25	Yaojie Zeng - Woobin Shin	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Yaojie Zeng - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Yaojie Zeng - Xiaofei Wang	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Jacob Bradshaw - Yaojie Zeng	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLW
- Ryuki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
29.08.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Yuki Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Yan Cheng Chen - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Bang Shuo Yin - Ryuki Matsuda	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Chun-Chien Hou - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Dhakshineswar Suresh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWWL

Yaojie Zeng - Ryuki Matsuda