Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sintra 2 (Portugal), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday


	Yaroslav Demin		John Echeverria

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	2.02	1.68
	2.29	1.57
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.04	1.69	Watch
	2.02	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.83)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yaroslav Demin
45%

John Echeverria
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yaroslav Demin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yaroslav Demin's form might have worsened.

John Echeverria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting John Echeverria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yaroslav Demin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Echeverria than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for John Echeverria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yaroslav Demin - John Echeverria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Demin is ranked ATP: 683. Echeverria is ranked ATP: 746.

Demin is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Echeverria is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Echeverria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Yaroslav Demin - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.31%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

John Echeverria - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.69%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yaroslav Demin
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Tiago Pereira - Yaroslav Demin	1:2 ✺
13.10.24	Yaroslav Demin - Matthew Dellavedova	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Hazem Naw - Yaroslav Demin	0:2
12.10.24	Sergi Perez Contri - Yaroslav Demin	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Yaroslav Demin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW
- John Echeverria
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Diego Fernandez Flores - John Echeverria	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Mathias Bourgue - John Echeverria	2:1 ✺
12.09.24	John Echeverria - Loann Massard	0:2 ✺
11.09.24	John Echeverria - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	John Echeverria - Carlos Sanchez Jover	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL

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