Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Yassine Dlimi		Florent Bax

	1	2
			Watch
	2.13	1.67
	2.42	1.47	Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.5)	1.61 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yassine Dlimi
42.2%

Florent Bax
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yassine Dlimi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yassine Dlimi than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yassine Dlimi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Florent Bax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yassine Dlimi - Florent Bax Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dlimi is ranked ATP: 776. Bax is ranked ATP: 325.

Recent performances by Dlimi have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bax is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dlimi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bax is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Bax will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yassine Dlimi
ITF Tournaments
16.10.25	Yassine Dlimi - Ishaque Eqbal	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Yassine Dlimi - Lawrence Bataljin	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Yassine Dlimi - Maximilian Homberg	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.25	Marc Van Der Merwe - Yassine Dlimi	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Alec Beckley - Yassine Dlimi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWL?W
- Florent Bax
ITF Tournaments
16.10.25	Aditya Vishal Balsekar - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Corentin Denolly - Florent Bax	Bax F. retired ✺
11.10.25	Amaury Raynel - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Edison Ambarzumjan - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 W?WWW

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