Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday


	Yasutaka Uchiyama		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.6	1.42	Watch
	2.65	1.5
	2.51	1.46	Watch
	2.62	1.43	Watch
	2.25	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.1)	1.46 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yasutaka Uchiyama
36.3%

Hugo Grenier
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yasutaka Uchiyama's form might have worsened.

Hugo Grenier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Grenier's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yasutaka Uchiyama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hugo Grenier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Uchiyama will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Grenier will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uchiyama: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 306. Grenier is ranked ATP: 179.

Uchiyama is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Grenier has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Grenier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Grenier could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Uchiyama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Yasutaka Uchiyama - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Hugo Grenier - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Kaylan Bigun - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Taro Daniel - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Harold Mayot - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
13.10.25	Omar Jasika - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Uchiyama Y. retired ✺
07.10.25	Kasidit Samrej - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLL?L
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Hikaru Shiraishi - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Arthur Fery - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Hugo Grenier - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Hugo Grenier - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Nerman Fatic - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.04.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hugo Grenier	Grenier H. walkover
08.07.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hugo Grenier	0:2
02.01.18	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hugo Grenier	1:2

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hugo Grenier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide