Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open (France) - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Referee: Ignatchenko Y. (Kaz)


	Yasutaka Uchiyama		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
	3.4	1.3
	3.1	1.33
	3.1	1.32	Watch
	3.29	1.35
	3.29	1.35
	3.4	1.3
	3.33	1.32	Watch
	3.4	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.35)	1.32 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yasutaka Uchiyama
28.7%

Mathys Erhard
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yasutaka Uchiyama's form might have worsened.

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mathys Erhard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yasutaka Uchiyama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mathys Erhard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Uchiyama will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Erhard will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Erhard: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Uchiyama could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Erhard is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Challenger
14.05.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
29.04.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rigele Te	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Tristan Schoolkate	Uchiyama Y. retired ✺
15.04.24	Lloyd Harris - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Canceled ✺
14.04.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LL??W
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
08.05.24	Alex Molcan - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
06.05.24	Mathys Erhard - Peter Benjamin Privara	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Mathys Erhard - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.04.24	Raphael Collignon - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Leo Raquillet - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLW

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Mathys Erhard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide