Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Suzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Suzhou 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ye Cong Mo		Naoya Honda

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.63
	1.45	2.59	Watch
	1.46	2.61	Watch
	1.44	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.36)	2.62 ↓ (3)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ye Cong Mo
64.2%

Naoya Honda
35.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ye Cong Mo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Naoya Honda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ye Cong Mo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ye Cong Mo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoya Honda than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naoya Honda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ye Cong Mo - Naoya Honda Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Honda will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Honda (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mo is ranked ATP: 769. Honda is ranked ATP: 795.

Mo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Honda is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Honda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mo is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ye Cong Mo
ATP Challenger
16.10.25	Ye Cong Mo - Jie Cui	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Henrique Rocha - Ye Cong Mo	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Ye Cong Mo - Khumoun Sultanov	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Maxim Zhukov - Ye Cong Mo	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Ye Cong Mo - Jacopo Vasami	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWWW
- Naoya Honda
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Naoya Honda - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.09.25	Naoya Honda - Sanhui Shin	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Naoya Honda - Yuto Oki	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Naoya Honda - Matthew Dellavedova	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Yusuke Takahashi - Naoya Honda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoya Honda
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Naoya Honda - Liam Broady	✺

Ye Cong Mo - Naoya Honda