Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 4, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Henrique Rocha		Ye Cong Mo

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.2	3.85	Watch
	1.25	4.05
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.25	3.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.56)	3.58 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
73.4%

Ye Cong Mo
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henrique Rocha's performance.

Ye Cong Mo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ye Cong Mo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henrique Rocha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ye Cong Mo than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ye Cong Mo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Henrique Rocha - Ye Cong Mo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Rocha (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Henrique Rocha will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Henrique Rocha will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Rocha (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 161. Mo is ranked ATP: 769.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rocha is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Henrique Rocha - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.73%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Henrique Rocha - Luca Castelnuovo	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Henrique Rocha - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Jay Clarke - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Henrique Rocha - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLW
- Ye Cong Mo
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Ye Cong Mo - Khumoun Sultanov	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Maxim Zhukov - Ye Cong Mo	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Ye Cong Mo - Jacopo Vasami	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Ye Cong Mo - Kasidit Samrej	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Omar Jasika - Ye Cong Mo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLL

Henrique Rocha - Ye Cong Mo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide