Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Kyoto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Yexin Ma		Lea Ma

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.74	2.12
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.7	2
	1.74	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.91)	1.99 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yexin Ma
53.4%

Lea Ma
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yexin Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Lea Ma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yexin Ma than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Yexin Ma - Lea Ma Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ma (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ma is ranked WTA: 186. Ma is ranked WTA: 324.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yexin Ma
ITF Tournaments
12.02.26	Talia Gibson - Yexin Ma	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Amy Stevens - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
09.02.26	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Nao Hibino - Yexin Ma	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Yexin Ma - Emerson Jones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW
- Lea Ma
ITF Tournaments
28.02.26	Akasha Urhobo - Lea Ma	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Lea Ma - Julieta Pareja	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Lea Ma - Maya Iyengar	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Lea Ma - Jaeda Daniel	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.02.26	Gabriela Lee - Lea Ma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL

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