Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chicago, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Yi Zhou		Joshua Sheehy

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.34	3.25
	1.28	3.42	Watch
			Watch
	1.36	2.99	Watch
	1.27	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.84)	3.14 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yi Zhou
70.3%

Joshua Sheehy
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yi Zhou's performance.

Joshua Sheehy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joshua Sheehy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yi Zhou that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joshua Sheehy than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joshua Sheehy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yi Zhou - Joshua Sheehy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhou is ranked ATP: 327. Sheehy is ranked ATP: 701.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sheehy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Hady Habib - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Yi Zhou - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Yi Zhou - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Marek Gengel - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWWL
- Joshua Sheehy
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Joshua Sheehy - Trey Hilderbrand	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Alvin Nicholas Tudorica - Joshua Sheehy	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Patrick Maloney - Joshua Sheehy	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	Tristan McCormick - Joshua Sheehy	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Alex Finkelstein - Joshua Sheehy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW

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