Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bloomfield Hills, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday


	Yi Zhou		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.19	1.6	Watch
	2.22	1.68
	2.31	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.18	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.25)	1.6 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yi Zhou
41.8%

Sho Shimabukuro
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Yi Zhou - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhou is ranked ATP: 310. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 208.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Zhou may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shimabukuro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
15.07.25	Marek Gengel - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Yi Zhou - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Andres Andrade - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Yi Zhou - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Yi Zhou - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWW
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
18.07.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Alexander Blockx - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLW

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