Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	Yibing Wu		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	1.60	2.20
	1.67	2.15
	1.63	2.41
	1.6	2.23	Watch
	1.65	2.20
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.55	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.75)	2.23 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yibing Wu
58.1%

Bu Yunchaokete
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yibing Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yibing Wu's performance.

Bu Yunchaokete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bu Yunchaokete might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yibing Wu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bu Yunchaokete could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Yibing Wu - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wu is ranked ATP: 106. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 109.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Yunchaokete may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yibing Wu
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Christian Langmo - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Yibing Wu - Pavle Marinkov	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Yibing Wu - Patrick Maloney	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Stefan Kozlov - Yibing Wu	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Yibing Wu - Novak Djokovic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWWLL
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Evan Zhu - Bu Yunchaokete	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	Daniel Milavsky - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Daniil Glinka - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Clement Tabur	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLW

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