Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday


	Yibing Wu		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.6	2.35	Watch
	1.66	2.34
	1.65	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.29	Watch
	1.6	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)	2.31 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yibing Wu
58.7%

Sumit Nagal
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yibing Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Yibing Wu - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Wu will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Nagal will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wu: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wu is ranked ATP: 564. Nagal is ranked ATP: 83.

Wu is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nagal is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nagal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wu will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yibing Wu
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Yibing Wu - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	Wu Y. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Yibing Wu - Yu Hsiou Hsu	Wu Y. retired ✺
02.09.24	Yibing Wu - Yuki Mochizuki	Canceled ✺
26.08.24	Norbert Gombos - Yibing Wu	2:1 ✺
23.08.24	Rio Noguchi - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 ???LW
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Beijing
23.09.24	Sumit Nagal - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Sumit Nagal - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Sumit Nagal - Tallon Griekspoor	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.24	Borna Coric - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 L?LLL

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