Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing (China) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday


	Sumit Nagal		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.48
	2.65	1.43	Watch
	2.81	1.45
	2.75	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.82	1.43	Watch
	2.65	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.38)	1.46 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
35.3%

Pavel Kotov
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sumit Nagal - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 83. Kotov is ranked ATP: 63.

Nagal is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kotov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kotov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Sumit Nagal - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Sumit Nagal - Tallon Griekspoor	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.24	Borna Coric - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Corentin Moutet - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 ?LLLL
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Chengdu
19.09.24	Pavel Kotov - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Zizou Bergs - Pavel Kotov	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.24	Pavel Kotov - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Zachary Svajda - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
20.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWW

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