Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: YOKKAICHI (JAPAN), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 25 November 2022, Friday


	Yosuke Watanuki		James Duckworth

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.72	2.1
	1.63	2.24
	1.68	2.24
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.61	2.26	Watch
	1.55	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.7)	2.23 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yosuke Watanuki
57.9%

James Duckworth
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Yosuke Watanuki - James Duckworth Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Watanuki will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Duckworth will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duckworth: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watanuki in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Duckworth is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Duckworth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Watanuki to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
24.11.22	Yunseong Chung - Yosuke Watanuki	Chung Y. retired ✺
23.11.22	Beibit Zhukayev - Yosuke Watanuki	Zhukayev B. retired ✺
21.11.22	Zdenek Kolar - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
19.11.22	Yosuke Watanuki - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
18.11.22	Christopher OConnell - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 ??WWW
- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
24.11.22	Nicholas David Ionel - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
23.11.22	Filip Cristian Jianu - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
21.11.22	Makoto Ochi - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
15.11.22	James Duckworth - Shinji Hazawa	0:2 ✺
31.10.22	Mukund Sasikumar - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL

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