Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday


	Yosuke Watanuki		Semen Pankin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.85
	1.36	3.00
	1.40	3.13
	1.33	3.04	Watch
	1.38	3.00
	1.34	2.99	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)	2.99 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yosuke Watanuki
68.8%

Semen Pankin
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Semen Pankin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Semen Pankin than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Yosuke Watanuki - Semen Pankin Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Watanuki will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pankin will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pankin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watanuki is ranked ATP: 415. Pankin is ranked ATP: 420.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Pankin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Watanuki is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	August Holmgren - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Braden Shick	Shick B. Walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWL?
- Semen Pankin
ITF Tournaments
22.08.26	Semen Pankin - Dimitar Kisimov	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Semen Pankin - Stefan Horia Haita	Haita S. H. Retired ✺
20.08.26	Semen Pankin - Drazen Petrovic	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Semen Pankin - Dusan Bazdar	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.26	Fajing Sun - Semen Pankin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 L?WWL

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