Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Yosuke Watanuki		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
	1.53	2.35
	1.49	2.44
	1.56	2.43
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.45
	1.48	2.47	Watch
	1.52	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.49)	2.42 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yosuke Watanuki
61.7%

Andre Ilagan
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yosuke Watanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Yosuke Watanuki - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Watanuki will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ilagan will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watanuki is ranked ATP: 305. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 253.

Watanuki is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ilagan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Watanuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Watanuki might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Watanuki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Andre Ilagan - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.08%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	August Holmgren - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Braden Shick	Shick B. Walkover ✺
03.07.26	Jack Kennedy - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
29.06.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 L?WWW
- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Colton Smith - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Liam Broady - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Andre Ilagan - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Andre Ilagan - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Andre Ilagan - Connor Plunkett	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.06.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Andre Ilagan	2:1

Yosuke Watanuki - Andre Ilagan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide