Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday


	Fajing Sun		Semen Pankin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.60	2.20
	1.57	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.43
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.59	2.36	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)	2.28 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
59%

Semen Pankin
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Semen Pankin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fajing Sun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Pankin than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Semen Pankin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Fajing Sun - Semen Pankin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sun will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pankin will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 326. Pankin is ranked ATP: 421.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sun might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Fajing Sun - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.05%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
11.08.26	Fajing Sun - Zangar Nurlanuly	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Ilia Simakin - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Fajing Sun - Semen Pankin	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Fajing Sun - Mees Rottgering	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Fajing Sun - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL
- Semen Pankin
ATP Challenger
10.08.26	Semen Pankin - Dominik Palan	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Fajing Sun - Semen Pankin	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Semen Pankin - Manas Manoj Dhamne	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Togan Tokac - Semen Pankin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Sebastiano Cocola - Semen Pankin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Fajing Sun - Semen Pankin	2:0

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