Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Yshai Oliel		Florent Bax

	1	2
			Watch
	2.80	1.36
	3.30	1.29
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	3.08	1.35
	3	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.59)	1.33 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yshai Oliel
30.7%

Florent Bax
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yshai Oliel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Florent Bax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Yshai Oliel - Florent Bax Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Oliel is ranked ATP: 2003., and Bax is ranked ATP: 298..

Bax shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Oliel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Bax is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Bax in today's match, at odds of 1.39.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Oliel has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Florent Bax - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.4%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yshai Oliel
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Marlon Vankan - Yshai Oliel	0:2
29.09.26	Yshai Oliel - Courtney John Lock	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Yshai Oliel - Johan Nikles	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Yshai Oliel - Yannick Hanfmann	Canceled ✺
31.01.25	Yshai Oliel - Maximilian Marterer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWL?L
- Florent Bax
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Caheer Warik - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Noah Schachter - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.26	Moise Kouame - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Martin Borisiouk - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Thanh Minh Truong - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.05.23	Yshai Oliel - Florent Bax	2:1

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