Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LEXINGTON (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 31 July 2023, Monday


	Yuki Mochizuki		Makoto Ochi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.56	2.38
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.61	2.21	Watch
	1.54	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.83)	2.32 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuki Mochizuki
59.9%

Makoto Ochi
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuki Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yuki Mochizuki's performance.

Makoto Ochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Makoto Ochi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuki Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yuki Mochizuki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Makoto Ochi than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Makoto Ochi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Mochizuki is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ochi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ochi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mochizuki will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mochizuki won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuki Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
30.07.23	Yuki Mochizuki - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.07.23	Yuki Mochizuki - Vito Tonejc	1:2 ✺
26.07.23	Yuki Mochizuki - Pierce Rollins	2:0 ✺
21.07.23	Yuki Mochizuki - Cannon Kingsley	0:2 ✺
20.07.23	Yuki Mochizuki - Jacob Brumm	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLW
- Makoto Ochi
ATP Challenger
30.07.23	Calum Puttergill - Makoto Ochi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.07.23	Makoto Ochi - Cooper Williams	1:2 ✺
19.07.23	Sebastian Gorzny - Makoto Ochi	2:0 ✺
19.06.23	Makoto Ochi - Taisei Ichikawa	0:2 ✺
15.06.23	Makoto Ochi - Sanhui Shin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.11.19	Yuki Mochizuki - Makoto Ochi	Ochi M. retired

Yuki Mochizuki - Makoto Ochi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide