Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sapporo 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday


	Yuki Mochizuki		Matthew Dellavedova

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	1.98	Watch
	1.69	2.06
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.71	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)	2.01 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuki Mochizuki
54.1%

Matthew Dellavedova
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuki Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuki Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Yuki Mochizuki - Matthew Dellavedova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 483. Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 434.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Dellavedova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mochizuki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuki Mochizuki
ITF Tournaments
08.09.25	Yuki Mochizuki - Riku Takahata	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Yuki Mochizuki - Ryota Tanuma	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Yanki Erel - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Yuki Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Yuki Mochizuki - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLWW
- Matthew Dellavedova
ITF Tournaments
08.09.25	Naoya Honda - Matthew Dellavedova	1:2 ✺
04.09.25	Hikaru Shiraishi - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Yuta Tomida - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Naoki Tajima - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Yanki Erel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.04.23	Matthew Dellavedova - Yuki Mochizuki	0:2

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