Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luan, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Matthew Dellavedova		Yanki Erel

	1	2
			Watch
	2.70	1.40
	2.7	1.4
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.9	1.39
	2.76	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.43)	1.39 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Dellavedova
33.5%

Yanki Erel
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Yanki Erel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matthew Dellavedova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yanki Erel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matthew Dellavedova - Yanki Erel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 283., and Erel is ranked ATP: 300..

In recent outings, Dellavedova has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Erel shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Dellavedova could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Erel for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Erel in today's match, at odds of 1.35.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Dellavedova has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Dellavedova - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.17%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Yaojie Zeng	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Jordan Chiu	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Zhao Zhao	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.26	Fajing Sun - Matthew Dellavedova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWWLL
- Yanki Erel
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Yanki Erel - Anton Shepp	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Yanki Erel - Egor Pleshivtsev	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Yanki Erel - Boxiong Zhang	Zhang B. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.26	Yanki Erel - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
02.10.26	Yanki Erel - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.08.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Yanki Erel	0:2
20.08.25	Yanki Erel - Matthew Dellavedova	1:2

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