Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Nakhon Pathom, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday


	Yuno Kitahara		Jia-Jing Lu

	1	2
	3.75	1.22
	3.5	1.25
	3.93	1.23
	4.52	1.15	Watch
	4	1.22
	3.62	1.25	Watch
	2.99	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (2.9)	1.24 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuno Kitahara
24.8%

Jia-Jing Lu
75.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuno Kitahara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yuno Kitahara's form might have worsened.

Jia-Jing Lu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jia-Jing Lu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuno Kitahara than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yuno Kitahara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jia-Jing Lu than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jia-Jing Lu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yuno Kitahara - Jia Jing Lu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Lu (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lu (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Kitahara is ranked WTA: 870. Lu is ranked WTA: 345.

Kitahara is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kitahara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lu is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuno Kitahara
ITF Tournaments
30.07.25	I Wen Wan - Yuno Kitahara	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Patcharin Cheapchandej - Yuno Kitahara	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Mao Mushika - Yuno Kitahara	0:2 ✺
24.07.25	Zeel Desai - Yuno Kitahara	1:2 ✺
24.07.25	Yuno Kitahara - Thasaporn Naklo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLWWW
- Jia-Jing Lu
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Mio Mushika - Jia-Jing Lu	Mushika Mio retired ✺
30.07.25	Sarah Rokusek - Jia-Jing Lu	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Laura Hietaranta - Jia-Jing Lu	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Vaidehi Chaudhari - Jia-Jing Lu	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Menuha Popovici - Jia-Jing Lu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 ?WLWW

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